Japanese Reuters's short-term non-manufacturing boom judgment index in December is 30, with the previous value of 19; Reuters's short-term judgment index of manufacturing prosperity in December was -1, with the previous value of 5.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Since the beginning of this year, six small and medium-sized banks have "refused to redeem" tier-2 capital bonds. On December 9, Yingkou Bank Co., Ltd. announced that when the 10-year tier-2 capital bonds issued by the bank in 2019 had expired, the bank chose not to redeem the bonds. In fact, a number of commercial banks have announced this year that they will not exercise the right to redeem secondary capital bonds, mainly small and medium-sized banks. The insiders believe that there are two main reasons why banks choose not to redeem secondary capital bonds. First, it is difficult for banks to refinance and issue capital replenishment tools due to factors such as high cost of new bonds and declining profitability. Second, the bank's capital adequacy ratio has been at a low level, and some banks' capital adequacy ratio has been lower than the regulatory requirements before redemption, and the capital level may further decline after exercising the redemption right. (Securities Daily)
Three-way funds actively increased their positions. The liquidity of the A-share market is abundant. Since this round of market, the liquidity of the market has been abundant, and the turnover has reached a number of records. The active transaction in the A-share market is inseparable from the continuous inflow of incremental funds. The data shows that since September 24, the financing balance in the A-share market has increased by nearly 500 billion yuan, the net inflow of equity ETFs has exceeded 220 billion yuan, and the repurchase amount has exceeded 24 billion yuan. Analysts said that incremental funds may accelerate the flow into the A-share market under the expectation of positive policies and economic recovery. (CSI)China promised to continue to contribute to the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund. On December 10th, local time, Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, attended the 2025 High-level Pledging Conference of the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund, saying that at present, geopolitical conflicts are constant, natural disasters are frequent, the global humanitarian situation has deteriorated significantly, and humanitarian needs are increasing. The important role of the Central Emergency Response Fund in providing rescue, saving lives and alleviating suffering has further increased. Geng Shuang said that China has always supported the United Nations to play a coordinating role in international humanitarian relief and the Central Emergency Response Fund to carry out its work. Since 2007, voluntary contributions have been made to the Fund every year. In 2024, donations have been completed, and contributions will continue to be made to the Fund in 2025. Geng Shuang said that China has provided long-term humanitarian assistance to countries in need through bilateral channels and in various forms, and will continue to uphold the concept of a community of human destiny, make joint efforts with the international community, and support countries and people in need to cope with the humanitarian crisis and get out of the humanitarian predicament. (CCTV)New york gold futures rose about 1.3% and returned to $2,720. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, spot gold rose 1.27% to $2,694.10 per ounce, which continued to fluctuate upward during the day, with a trading range of $2,658.05-2,695.62. Spot silver rose 0.20% to $31.9055 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose 1.28% to $2,720.00 per ounce, with an intraday trading range of $2,680.70-$2,721.30. COMEX silver futures rose 0.62% to $32.6450 an ounce. COMEX copper futures rose 0.31% to $4.2710/lb.
More than 7,500 people who disappeared during the war in Bosnia and Herzegovina are still missing. On the 10th, Djudria, chairman of the Board of Directors of the Institute of Missing Persons in Bosnia and Herzegovina, said that there are still more than 7,500 people missing during the war in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Gyudria said that 35,000 people disappeared during the Bosnia-Herzegovina war, and about 80% of the remains have been found and identified. However, after more than 30 years, it is a great challenge to interpret satellite images from a technical and professional perspective, which leads to the slow progress in finding missing persons. She said that only by finding the missing person can we talk about real reconciliation and the healing of historical wounds. (Xinhua News Agency)Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.Iran calls on the United Nations to protect the safety of its diplomats in Syria. According to a report by the Islamic Republic of Iran News Agency on the 10th local time, Iravani, Iran's representative to the United Nations, urged the UN Security Council and the UN Secretary-General to condemn the recent attacks on Iranian diplomats in Syria. Iravani also called on the United Nations and the Security Council to take measures to ensure the safety of diplomats and prevent possible attacks. (CCTV)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14